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Third Eye Capital > Articles by: okeefe

CEO Insights

Dear Investor, We want to share with you how we are managing the impact of COVID-19 on our investments and the threats and opportunities we believe lie ahead. We have always built our portfolios to withstand recessionary conditions and weather through volatile storms without suffering catastrophic...

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Echoes Of 1999: Equity Euphoria, Credit Consequences (Q3-25)...

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Echoes Of 1999: Equity Euphoria, Credit Consequences (Q3-25)...

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Echoes Of 1999: Equity Euphoria, Credit Consequences (Q3-25)...

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Hacked by CoupDeGrace...

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Global asset prices surged in 2019 after the dramatic “stealth QE” operations conducted by the U.S. Federal Reserve in the wholesale funding market (commonly known as the repo market). Since our Q3-2019 Investor Report, the Fed’s balance sheet has expanded by over 10% or approximately...

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S&P LCD (“LCD”) recently updated in its recovery study database for leveraged loans and corporate bonds, which covers USD$1.1 Trillion in credit defaults over the past thirty-one years. Recoveries are determined by valuing loans at three different points in the recovery process: emergence, settlement, and...

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Economists tend to dismiss the role of credit in the economic cycle because of the lack of correlation between GDP growth and growth in the total amount of outstanding credit of the non-financial sector. In October 2009, the IMF forecast that credit growth would remain...

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The latest credit outlook survey of the International Association of Credit Portfolio Managers (“IACPM”), a global membership of more than 100 banks, insurance companies and asset managers, indicates that recession fears have eased. The IACPM’s index was at a neutral -3.3 in Q1-2019 compared to...

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The biggest surprise in 2018 that caught nearly every energy investor and trader off-guard was the steep 30% decline in oil prices at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Not surprisingly, this large pullback has resulted in a surge of bearish calls for a collapse...

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